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Fresh Trade Tensions Upend Market Calm - The Wall Street Journal

Stock benchmarks fell Monday after anxiety over the U.S.-China trade spat intensified, raising investors’ fears that the conflict could dent economic growth.

The S&P 500 lost 1.2% in the opening minutes of trading in New York, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 460 points. The Nasdaq Composite Index moved 2.2% lower.

Earlier, stock markets in Asia and Europe slid, oil prices declined and the Chinese yuan weakened after President Trump threatened to ramp up U.S. tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports to 25%, up from 10% currently. That put an accord between the two countries in doubt ahead of a new round of talks set to begin this week in Washington.

China’s delegation was preparing to go to the U.S. for the talks, the foreign ministry spokesman said Monday, adding that the Chinese government hoped both sides could work together to reach an agreement after threats repeatedly rose in the past.

Jitters over the trade battle revived worries that tensions would take a toll on corporate profits, undermining strong U.S. growth, some analysts and traders said. The abrupt moves—following months of relative tranquility—showed investors are still sensitive about the possibility of deteriorating commercial relations between the world’s two largest economies.

“Markets don’t like to be surprised, but we still need more time with this story because it comes with a backdrop of a super strong economy,” said Michael Antonelli, market strategist at investment bank Robert W. Baird & Co. “I’m still willing to give it the benefit of the doubt that this could be a negotiating tactic. This is going to bring back volatility, but it’s always darkest before the dawn.”

The renewed trade tensions come after stocks have rebounded to fresh records, recovering from last year’s bruising fourth-quarter selloff. Stocks rallied Friday after data showed the U.S. labor market added more jobs than expected in April.

Industrial shares, which have been susceptible to trade-induced volatility, came under pressure ahead of the bell. Caterpillar, Boeing and Stanley Black & Decker shed at least 2.5% each in premarket trading.

Meanwhile, shares of semiconductor companies, which have been caught in the crosshairs of the trade battle, were battered Monday with stocks such as Advanced Micro Devices, Micron Technology and Nvidia each losing at least 3.8% a piece premarket. Semiconductor shares are vulnerable to a trade war because China is a strong driver for the chip-equipment sector.

Apple dropped nearly 3% before the bell while Amazon.com and Google parent Alphabet lost 2% and 1.4%, respectively.

Monday’s volatile drops follow months of relative calm, after a turbulent 2018 left investors scarred. Stocks, bonds and credit markets rose in 2019, with U.S. equities recently touching all-time highs. The S&P 500, for example, added 18% this year. Markets observers had said optimism about U.S.-China trade talks helped underpin that climb.

“This is not good news for Chinese companies that are already dealing with headwinds from high indebtedness, slowing domestic growth, and now tougher external conditions as well as the rest of the world,” said Trinh Nguyen, a Hong Kong-based senior economist for emerging markets at Natixis . “Particularly for countries that rely on China demand such as South Korea, Germany, and Australia.”

Cars were set to be exported onto a cargo vessel at a port in Lianyungang, China, earlier this year. Photo: stringer/Reuters

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, slid 0.4% to $70.44 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate lost 1.2% edging down to $61.23 a barrel.

“Trump’s latest tweet on trade talks with China has sparked a risk-off environment,” said Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at UBS in Switzerland, adding that concerns of slowing global economic growth and subsequently lower oil demand weighed on prices.

Investors edged into safe assets, with gold adding 0.1% to $1283.10 a troy ounce, and the Japanese yen adding 0.3% against the greenback.

The WSJ dollar index, which tracks the currency against a basket of 16 of its peers, added 0.2%. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 2.487% from 2.531% Friday. Yields move inversely to prices.

Elsewhere, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped more than 3% while Europe’s pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 lost 1.4%. All national benchmarks in the region, except London’s FTSE 100, which was closed for a public holiday, were in the red.

The Shanghai Composite Index fell 5.6%, while its counterpart in Shenzhen tumbled 7.4%, both registering their biggest single-day declines since 2016.

Write to Joanne Chiu at joanne.chiu@wsj.com and Jessica Menton at Jessica.Menton@wsj.com

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https://www.wsj.com/articles/global-markets-tumble-after-trumps-threat-to-raise-tariffs-on-china-11557108903

2019-05-06 13:15:00Z
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